IMO, the question of intelligence is already answered - AI’s are likely already more intelligent than us.
The real question is: how long will it take for them to be wiser than us?
[1913 Webster]
Intelligence Intel"ligence, n. [F. intelligence, L.
intelligentia, intellegentia. See Intelligent.]
-
The act or state of knowing; the exercise of the
understanding.
-
The capacity to know or understand; readiness of
comprehension; the intellect, as a gift or an endowment.
Wisdom Wis"dom (-d[u^]m), n. [AS. w[imac]sd[=o]m. See Wise,
a., and -dom.]
-
The quality of being wise; knowledge, and the capacity to
make due use of it; knowledge of the best ends and the
best means; discernment and judgment; discretion;
sagacity; skill; dexterity.
-
The results of wise judgments; scientific or practical
truth; acquired knowledge; erudition.
Intelligence in psychology is the acquisition of knowledge. The rate of which is what IQ tests attempt to determine.
Wisdom is the culmination of any particular intelligence.
When we run an LLM on our local machine we are seeing the wisdom that was accumulated.
We know from our experiences with these LLM’s that they aren’t yet at mid-human level for many things.
But we also know that these LLM’s during their learning phase took very little time to acquire the wisdom level that they have. A level that it would take many years for even the most astute human to acquire.
Therefore, it is reasonable to believe that the intelligence that currently exists to build these LLM’s already exceeds human level intelligence.
Many creatures can have intelligences that are off the charts, yet only ever gain limited degree’s of wisdom as they are limited in what they can experience - the octopus and the dolphin can’t see and experience all that humans can. We can swim with the dolphins, they cannot walk with us. We are tool makers and have learned to extend ourselves and these tools further increase our “territorial wisdom”.
The AI’s used to build LLM’s are certainly high level intelligences. And their territorial wisdom is potentially as broad as humanity allows them to be - as we can create tools (robotic bodies for instance) which they can utilize.
With current tech these AI’s are limited in number and territorial scope, but I think that most here believe that technology will continue to advance.
So it seems inevitable that AI’s will surpass humanity in wisdom within a decade or three and IMO sooner rather than later.